YR4 has a small chance of hitting Earth in 2032, but as astronomers make more observations about its trajectory, the odds of a collision seem to be increasing

NASA upgrades chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth - now the highest in agency’s history - There is now a 1-in-32 chance that the space rock will hit us in 2032 – with potentially disastrous con

NASA has flagged a major increase in the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in 2032. The space agency had first estimated a 1.3% chance of impact when the asteroid was discovered just after Christmas last year. But recent data from NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) now puts the number at a heightened 3.1%.